Highlights

THE INVESTMENT APPROACH OF CALVIN TAN

Author: calvintaneng   |   Latest post: Tue, 9 Apr 2024, 5:43 AM

 

TSH RESOURCES: Its Latest P/E. NAV & Dividends: The 3 Pointers to A Great Future, Calvin Tan

Author:   |    Publish date:


Dear friends of i3 Forum

 

The Shift  from Growth to Value Stocks will be the Up Coming Focus when Fed Stop Further QE & Raise Interest rates

Dow going up while Nasdaq FAANG Stocks falling foretells it

 

We shall look at TSH RESOURCES To See Its Emerging Solid Earnings, Solid NAV & Solid Dividends

 

For P/E let us look at all past 4 Quarters' Results

 

TSH RESOURCES (Results from Bursa Webpage)

February 2022

 

SUMMARY OF KEY FINANCIAL INFORMATION
31 Dec 2021

 
INDIVIDUAL PERIOD
CUMULATIVE PERIOD
CURRENT YEAR QUARTER
PRECEDING YEAR
CORRESPONDING
QUARTER
CURRENT YEAR TO DATE
PRECEDING YEAR
CORRESPONDING
PERIOD
31 Dec 2021
31 Dec 2020
31 Dec 2021
31 Dec 2020
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
1 Revenue
328,350
241,089
1,188,919
926,003
2 Profit/(loss) before tax
84,303
48,404
253,683
130,242
3 Profit/(loss) for the period
73,195
34,040
201,616
90,324
4 Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent
63,433
33,347
169,008
79,487
5 Basic earnings/(loss) per share (Subunit)
4.60
2.42
12.25
5.76
6 Proposed/Declared dividend per share (Subunit)
3.00
1.50
3.00
1.50
   
AS AT END OF CURRENT QUARTER
AS AT PRECEDING FINANCIAL YEAR END
7 Net assets per share attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent ($$)
1.1890
1.0531

 

In Feb 2022 TSH Reported 4.6 sen profit

Declared a 3 sen dividend

Nav is Rm1.18

 

 

 

May 2022

SUMMARY OF KEY FINANCIAL INFORMATION
31 Mar 2022

 
INDIVIDUAL PERIOD
CUMULATIVE PERIOD
CURRENT YEAR QUARTER
PRECEDING YEAR
CORRESPONDING
QUARTER
CURRENT YEAR TO DATE
PRECEDING YEAR
CORRESPONDING
PERIOD
31 Mar 2022
31 Mar 2021
31 Mar 2022
31 Mar 2021
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
1 Revenue
337,349
244,081
337,349
244,081
2 Profit/(loss) before tax
115,849
38,978
115,849
38,978
3 Profit/(loss) for the period
106,700
26,448
106,700
26,448
4 Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent
101,864
15,565
101,864
15,565
5 Basic earnings/(loss) per share (Subunit)
6.99
1.51
6.99
1.51
6 Proposed/Declared dividend per share (Subunit)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
   
AS AT END OF CURRENT QUARTER
AS AT PRECEDING FINANCIAL YEAR END
7 Net assets per share attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent ($$)
1.2630
1.1892
 

In May 2022 TSH's profit is 6.99 sen

 

 

August 2022

SUMMARY OF KEY FINANCIAL INFORMATION
30 Jun 2022

 
INDIVIDUAL PERIOD
CUMULATIVE PERIOD
CURRENT YEAR QUARTER
PRECEDING YEAR
CORRESPONDING
QUARTER
CURRENT YEAR TO DATE
PRECEDING YEAR
CORRESPONDING
PERIOD
30 Jun 2022
30 Jun 2021
30 Jun 2022
30 Jun 2021
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
1 Revenue
424,413
307,414
761,762
551,495
2 Profit/(loss) before tax
80,467
64,713
196,315
103,693
3 Profit/(loss) for the period
71,165
48,199
177,864
74,648
4 Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent
57,335
39,715
153,810
60,499
5 Basic earnings/(loss) per share (Subunit)
4.15
2.88
11.14
4.38
6 Proposed/Declared dividend per share (Subunit)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
   
AS AT END OF CURRENT QUARTER
AS AT PRECEDING FINANCIAL YEAR END
7 Net assets per share attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent ($$)
1.2857
1.1892
 

 

In August 2022 profit is 4.15 sen

 

 

November 2022

SUMMARY OF KEY FINANCIAL INFORMATION
30 Sep 2022

 
INDIVIDUAL PERIOD
CUMULATIVE PERIOD
CURRENT YEAR QUARTER
PRECEDING YEAR
CORRESPONDING
QUARTER
CURRENT YEAR TO DATE
PRECEDING YEAR
CORRESPONDING
PERIOD
30 Sep 2022
30 Sep 2021
30 Sep 2022
30 Sep 2021
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
1 Revenue
262,652
309,074
1,024,414
860,569
2 Profit/(loss) before tax
294,439
65,689
490,755
169,381
3 Profit/(loss) for the period
296,443
53,775
474,308
128,422
4 Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent
258,428
45,078
412,239
105,576
5 Basic earnings/(loss) per share (Subunit)
18.72
3.27
29.87
7.65
6 Proposed/Declared dividend per share (Subunit)
0.08
0.00
0.08
0.00
   
AS AT END OF CURRENT QUARTER
AS AT PRECEDING FINANCIAL YEAR END
7 Net assets per share attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent ($$)
1.5071
1.1892

 

Latest result

Profit 18.72 sen

Dividend 8 sen (all will get by 21st Dec 2022)

Nav is Rm1.50

 

Now TSH after 8 sen ex dividend (7th Dec) is currently Rm1.00

 

To calculate it's P/E we add up all 4 quarter earnings

 

4.6 sen (Feb 2022)

6.99 sen (May 2022)

4.15 sen  (August 2022)

18.72 sen (Nov 2022)

Total earnings = 34.46 sen

 

To get P/E divides Rm1.00 by 34.46 sen

= 2.9

YES TSH HAS A VERY LOW P/E OF ONLY 2.9

That means you will get back your value in just 2.9 years time

 

Putting money in Bank FD at 2.75 sen a year for every ringgit also got a P/E

 

Divides 100 by 2.75

= 36 P/E or Price Earning Ratio

That means you will only double your money in 36 years time

 

Do you think in 36 years time will things and food only go up by 100%

Or Inflation by then will be much higher

If so then Bank FD at 2.75% cannot protect us from the ravages of high inflation

 

Look at dividends

Feb 2022 dividend 3 sen

Nov 2022 dividend 8 sen

Total Dividend is 11 sen

At Rm1.00 that means TSH is giving a Dividend of 11% or several times more than Bank FD rate

 

Now look at Nav

Nav was Rm1.18   in Feb 2022

By Nov 2022 Nav has gone up to Rm1.50 or up by 32 sen (or 27%)

 

All the above figures are very clear & transparent

 

But look at TSH Balance Sheet

Currently TSH has about Rm500 millions loan

But its Cash  has increased to Rm360 Millions

So loan less debt TSH is only oweing Rm140 Millions (A far cry from its Rm1.2 Billions Debt in Feb 2022

At 5% interest on Rm1.2 Billions loan TSH will save Rm60 Millions on Bank Interest (That is more than 4 sen saving on interest a year

 

By 2023 the Balance Sum of Rm238 Millions from Bulungan Regency land sold will settle all remaining debt & TSH can then follow INNO PLant in giving better dividends

 

For Many years since 2007 TSH BOD (Board of Directors) Helped Sabah Govt to launch INNO

TSH currently  owns 105 Million INNO Shares in Top 2nd position with 21.95%

 

See how nice Dividends payout from INNO

 

For year 2022 INNO has declared a total 22 sen in Dividends

Up to 4 interim dividends plus special dividend (year 2021)

 

 

 

Look a TSH Dividend below

 

 

Please Note

TSH used to gove 1st & Final Dividends

But the latest dividend is called First interim dividend

 

Will more dividend(s) be coming?

 

From here we SEE TSH has low P/E, dividend improving & growing Nav

 

These are the Yardsticks Value Investors look for

 

 

Warmest Regards

 

Calvin

 

 

Please buy or sell after doing your own due diligence or consult your remisier/Fund Manager

 

 

 

 

Further Note

 

By Jan 2023 Indonesia with 280 Million population will implement B35 for Biofuel

This will increase Biofuel use from 11 Million  CPO use to 13 Million tonnes 

 

Total Cpo production for Indonesia is 45 to 46 million Tonnes of Cpo

So 13 Million tonnes going into Biofuel will soak up 28% (that is only B35 and B35 will go on to B40, B50 & higher)

 

Malaysia Cpo production between 18 Million to 19 Million tonnes

World yearly consumption of Cpo about 73.8 million tonnes

With Fuel competing with Food the Demand will overtake supply one day & prices will sustain

 

3 Reasons Why Indonesia MUST Go Up the Biofuel chain

 

1) INDONESIA IS A NET IMPORTER OF CRUDE OIL

As such Biofuel mandate is not an option to save on high cost of import

 

2) Biofuel is cleaner than Fossil Fuel

3) INDONESIA HAS VAST SUPPLY OF PALM OIL BEING WORLD BIGGEST PRODUCER

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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  Shadow5418 likes this.
 
SEE_Research Post removed. Why?
12/12/2022 2:16 AM
Raymond Tiruchelvam wow SEE-Reasearch.... looks like your hatred for calvin is sky high, did you lose because of him?
12/12/2022 3:56 AM
calvintaneng Post removed. Why?
12/12/2022 10:14 AM
calvintaneng Bonia is now Rm2.34

so wirhout fanfare, hooha or noise Bonia share price has gone up by 487% in 4 years

one up 120% for each year of the four years from 2018 till now

If all were to to reinvest all dividends give by Bonia then total performance is over 500%

that is the power of holding value share longer term plus compounding the dividends received

Will anyone be able to hold Tsh for next four years to SEE?

12/12/2022 10:23 AM
SEE_Research Post removed. Why?
12/12/2022 11:49 AM
calvintaneng When Bonia dropped from 99 sen to 48 sen in 2018 there were lots of naysayers
12/12/2022 12:02 PM
calvintaneng if Bonia really so good why price can crash from 99 sen to 48 sen?

anything wrong with Bonia when all were selling then

The most important question they forgot to ask was

"Why was Bonia boss buying non stop?
12/12/2022 12:04 PM
anthonytkh The most important question you forgot to ask (simply coz you don’t know) was why Bonia was looking to sell 3 of their real estate assets located in Cheras back in 2018
12/12/2022 12:08 PM
calvintaneng So history might not repeat but they do rythme

Why people never ask

Tsh bought all the way up Rm1.89(no selling at peak)

then Tsh price dropped to 90 sen

Did Tsh chairman made a big mistake not seliing at Rm1.89???

and why now he got over 300,000 Tsh shares?

Why he buying so much?
Ever wonder what is in his mind?

Why he SEES IN TSH BY YEAR 2023?
2024?
2025?
2026?

12/12/2022 12:08 PM
calvintaneng AnthonyTkh is smart to notice Bonia owns 10 acres prime lands in Tmn Midah , Cheras plus car parking lots in Tmn Connaught
12/12/2022 12:18 PM
calvintaneng Do you know Tsh sold lands in Sabah(Rm249 mil) and Bulugan (Rm731 mil) to unlock Rm980 millions Cash?
12/12/2022 12:20 PM
calvintaneng After selling Tsh still got 300,000 acres timber lands plus lots more palm oil estates

In Kutai /Nusantara alone is 94700 acres

Bonia only got mere 10 acres
12/12/2022 12:22 PM
calvintaneng Post removed. Why?
12/12/2022 12:40 PM
calvintaneng In year 2000 I visited Putrajaya

Today a new Putrajaya is coming up in East Kalimantan

anthonytkh

The most important question you forgot to ask (simply coz you don’t know) was why Bonia was looking to sell 3 of their real estate assets located in Cheras back in 2018

29 minutes ago
12/12/2022 12:43 PM
SEE_Research Post removed. Why?
12/12/2022 4:12 PM
calvintaneng Tsh chairman bought 500,000 shares at Rm1. 026 to cross 330 millions
12/12/2022 5:52 PM
anthonytkh I don’t need you to tell me what real estate a PLC own in Malaysia. I know. All PLCs. Including those owned by Tenaga that you have absolutely no idea by checking their AR. You only checked Bonia after I mentioned it

But you didn’t answer my question : Why did Bonia agree to consider selling 3 specific real estate assets IN 2018?

Since I know for certain you don’t know, just keep your, er, “counsel” and go keep quiet
12/12/2022 5:54 PM
calvintaneng Know for certain is this
8 sen dividend payment date is on 21th of December

Can spend it for Christmas
Or reinvest into more Tsh shares

So good that all 10 chosen palm oil companies are giving dividends this year

Be careful of others not only no dividend but asking for monies by Rights issues

Others even worst gone limit down into Pn17
12/12/2022 8:24 PM
SEE_Research Post removed. Why?
28/12/2022 6:42 AM
SEE_Research Post removed. Why?
29/12/2022 12:19 AM
SEE_Research Post removed. Why?
30/12/2022 7:39 PM
SEE_Research Post removed. Why?
05/01/2023 7:53 PM
SEE_Research Post removed. Why?
18/02/2023 4:22 PM
SEE_Research Post removed. Why?
01/03/2023 10:31 AM
calvintaneng Post removed. Why?
02/03/2023 10:07 PM
Johnchew5 Post removed. Why?
02/03/2023 10:09 PM
calvintaneng Latest from Kutai/Nusantara

The Rise of A New Capital

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G9Gns7v96Pg
03/03/2023 9:14 PM


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