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Author: savemalaysia   |   Latest post: Fri, 19 Apr 2024, 10:49 PM

 

Once-unstoppable glove king loses billions after 89% stock crash

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(July 13): For a moment, Tan Sri Dr Lim Wee Chai’s ascent looked unstoppable.

His Top Glove Corp Bhd grew bigger than Malaysia’s banks, telecommunications firms and even the state-owned electricity company during the Covid-19 pandemic. Its share price soared 450% through the first seven months of 2020, leaving high-flyers like Moderna Inc, Zoom Video Communications Inc, Peloton Interactive Inc and Carvana Co in the dust and making Lim a billionaire several times over.

The maker of one out of every four gloves in the world said in September 2020 it expected “fresh highs” after profit surged 1,500%. By June 2021, as vaccines rolled out across the globe and more competitors entered the market, that guidance shifted to a gradual decline in selling prices. The company vowed six months later to press forward with an expansion, undeterred by its stock tumbling back to pre-Covid-19 levels.

All the while, the value of Lim and his family’s stake in Top Glove slipped: From US$6 billion (about RM26.62 billion) at its peak in October 2020 to US$4.5 billion four months later, and to US$1.6 billion in January.

Then last month came the final blow: a 99% plunge in Top Glove’s profit, enough to put those expansion plans on hold. The results are “almost close to the bottom”, Lim said. The value of the stake is down to US$1 billion now, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

Lim is hardly the only founder whose fortune skyrocketed during the pandemic and has since come back to Earth. The period minted at least five billionaires in the protective-gear sector alone, including Datuk Seri Stanley Thai Kim Sim of Supermax Corp Bhd, which surged at an even faster pace than Top Glove, not to mention scores of newly rich tech executives and cryptocurrency holders.

But as the chairman of the biggest maker of rubber gloves, the erosion of Lim’s fortune is shaping up to be as dramatic as its rise. And unlike US or European tech founders and crypto traders, Top Glove’s rapid fall could deal a blow to Malaysia, which produces 65% of the world’s supply of gloves. While the nation’s shipments of rubber items surged 50% to almost US$14 billion last year, Chinese competitors have been ramping up production, making the reversal even more severe. 

“What surprises us is the faster-than-expected decline in the average selling price and the aggressiveness of Chinese glove makers in terms of their willingness to cut the price in order to grab market share,” said Wong Wei Sum, an analyst with Maybank Investment Bank Bhd.

A Top Glove representative didn’t comment for this story. Lim started Top Glove in 1991 and turned it into a behemoth that churns 100 billion pieces of gloves annually from 49 factories, supplying 26% of the global market for the protective gear. The stock started trading in Malaysia in 2001 and in Singapore 15 years later. A third listing in Hong Kong was put on hold in March due to “changing developments in the industry”.

Lim, who owns 36% of Top Glove with his family, has been the main beneficiary of the company’s dividend policy and last year’s record payout. Even though shares are down 89% from their peak, he received a windfall of more than US$400 million for 2021 and US$75 million in 2020 as profit grew more than 300% each year.

That compares with US$26 million in 2019, before the pandemic.

It’s unlikely 2022 will be as good to him as his days as a multibillionaire.

“Financial year 2021 was an extraordinary year as it was at the peak of the Covid-19 pandemic, where gloves were essential items,” said Lim Su Hua, an analyst with JF Apex Securities Bhd. The outlook for Top Glove is “in the doldrums in the near term”, she added. 

https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/onceunstoppable-glove-king-loses-billions-after-89-stock-crash

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TOPGLOV 0.81 -0.02 (2.41%) 15,113,400 

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arv18 Pride comes before a fall. The biggest loss by a Malaysian Chinese business family in Malaysian history. Devastating.
13/07/2022 8:22 PM
arv18 Part of your job as a CEO, Tan Sri etc, is to protect the market cap (value) of your company.

The default mode of most Chinese businessmen is to a) Copy what others are doing or b) blindly expand supply to the sky (thereby crashing the price).

they can't seem to think outside the box, for example, doing some vertical integration for example a) buy a dry bulk ship to ship your gloves b) invest in NBL manufacturing to reduce input costs c) pay your foreign workers well, improve working conditions (with bonuses) to keep the NGO's away, at bay d) don't expand, focus on a + b + c. Why don't expand, because you are selling/dealing in a fungible good like gloves. any tom,dick and harry (greedy Chinese businessmen) can make gloves!

but the issue is the blind greediness of Chinese businessmen. It is a double-edged sword. It can drive ambition, but can leave you exposed in other areas.
13/07/2022 9:32 PM
arv18 But not only is this tycoon greedy, he is extremely selfish. look how Top GLove mistreated its workers with forced labour issues. Did the company pay worker bonus during the good times? No!

Extremely Greedy. And Selfish. Classic case. Want to expand supply, pay dirt cheap low wages so people suffer.

Karma lah.
13/07/2022 9:40 PM
arv18 It's not me that blocked Top Glove exports for labour violations and mistreatment of workers.

US Border Service and Andy Hall helped to ensure the hard-working workers received their monies.

I even saw some other companies housing workers in shipping containers.

This is a problem with most Malaysian Chinese businessmen. Stingy and selfish when it comes to treatment and payment of salaries.

Even RM1500 basic wage the Malaysian Manufacturers Association wants to cry and scream about it.

Only when the NGO and Americans step in like grown up parents to slap these greedy Chinese businessmen, they only THEN rectify their ways.

__________________
Posted by qqq3333 > Jul 13, 2022 9:45 PM | Report Abuse

I don't agree with arv.... no proof to backup his statements except share price drop
13/07/2022 10:08 PM
wallstreetrookie Well said by @arv18
Excellent analysis
14/07/2022 8:43 AM
wallstreetrookie Top Glove Corporate Strategy team failed at their job
14/07/2022 8:43 AM
darren2021 when the company pay higher than market value does it means the company good? for example us companies paying higher than market but whenever there is any down turn, they are the first to retrench workers. whenever their workers getting older and salary high, they gonna replace them with younger and cheaper workers. how u going to judge this senario?
14/07/2022 9:46 AM
calvintaneng Listen to the Cruz of the problem

Covid 19 caused Demand for Malaysian gloves

And demand far exceeded supply so prices surged up

ASP Premium of $$$

Then News of newly minted Glove Billionaires reached China

China who produced Glove Auto Machines selling for Rm1.2 Million never imaged selling gloves can make so much money joined the fray
14/07/2022 1:32 PM
calvintaneng Since China could build 1,000 bed hospitals in 10 days China set up New glove factories all over China and started Churning out Billions and Trillions gloves non stop 24 hours by robots
leading to Glut and price war

now Malaysia sell gloves

Usd24 for 1000

China under cut

Usd22 for 1,000

plus USA just reduced tarif for China glove import but banned Malaysia gloves

That is why Cannot touch gloves now
14/07/2022 1:37 PM
calvintaneng Palm oil is very ok

Since China cannot
it will take 5 years to plant new palm oil to see 1st drop of cooking oil

So there is high Time Barrier in Palm oil which gloves don't have

Palm oil only in correction but bull run will resume and last for 3 to 4 years more

Best sell gloves buy palm oil shares

Final decision is yours

Regards
Calvin
14/07/2022 1:40 PM
calvintaneng While gloves got fierce competition from China

palm oil rivals like sunflower oil , Canola oil and soyoil are in trouble

Sunflower oil
Ukraine cannot export due to war

Canola
Canada got bad drought last year and now they cut canola planting by 7%

Soyoil also face drought plus More go into biofuel refinery in USA

so glove got downside pull while palm oil got upside support
14/07/2022 1:51 PM
Investoz88 Easier said than done.
Not easy for chinese companies to fully automate gloves productions.
Their costs could be higher due to more expensive labour, high energy costs and supply chain disruption etc..
Zero Covid strategy is going to hurt them a lot.
Quality is another issue for chinese made gloves.
Thats why they are all making losses.
More and deeper losses if they continue the same path.
15/07/2022 10:50 AM
Investoz88 Other gloves companies listed overseas incl Singapore, Thai , Australia are moving up..
Why??
15/07/2022 11:13 AM


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